N. P. Upadhyaya, Nepal
Kathmandu: China’s State Councilor and foreign minister Wang Yi returned home with a saddened mood which, many believed in Kathmandu, was already in store for him this time with the tacit passage of the Millennium Challenge Corporation (MCC).
A Himalayan jolt to Beijing in almost a decade or so.
Minister Wang’s three days stay in Kathmandu, March 26-28, under the shadow of the USs MCC must have given the Chinese foreign minister the “idea” as to why China’s has fallen flat in Kathmandu’s politics that is, obviously, dominated by the Indian spy agency-the RAW plus some more powerful international interested agencies that toe the standard lines adopted by the World’s Super Power-the USA.
A section of Nepali observers believe that Sri Lanka’s “current situation” is only due to China’s “debt trap”, however, others take it as wrong handling of the debt received by Colombo from Beijing.
Debt trap is a new word coined by the developed West + India to make a joke of China-India’s immediate and heavyweight rival since 1962 War defeat by the India which, rumors say, took the life of Pandit Nehru-the one who practiced the theory of “Monroe doctrine” in South Asia which continues even as of today, April 3, 2022.
Wikipedia says, “The Monroe Doctrine was a United States foreign policy position that opposed European colonialism in the Western Hemisphere. It held that any intervention in the political affairs of the Americas by foreign powers was a potentially hostile act against the U.S”.
Many Nepali nationals believe India aka Bharat aka Hindustan as Nepal nearest enemy for clear reasons.
With the fresh disappointment of China’s own making, the Chinese regime must have made a strong determination which the Nepalese could observe within some months of Wang’s gloomy departure.
The dragon shall not remain quiet, it is strongly whispered.
Some analysts claim that China received some sort of “set back” in his Kathmandu trip this time for a variety of political reasons which, unfortunately, the Chinese side ignored or calculated wrong.
China’s blunder was that it took the chameleon Nepali communists as China’s men.
The one who is not a Nepali even, how could he entertain China?
Firstly, China’s assumption that “the Communist” logo in Nepal is basically anti-India or for that matter necessarily pro-China.
It is this “self manufactured and self defeating” illusion/conclusion that made China to fall horizontal.
Foreign Minister Wang is not a new persona for Nepal from China.
Despite his several trips made to this country in the past, Wang failed to understand who was what and working for whom?
To recall, the Chinese and the Pakistanis based in Kathmandu nurture a sweet and self-defeating conclusion that those who attack or for that matter write against India “were all “our men” which is hundred percent incorrect.
The fact is that the network of the Indian spy agency is so strong that “various political personalities including the mainstream media” loiter around the Chinese and the Pakistan embassies and very smartly communicate that “they only were true friends”.
One incident, I was told some seven or eight years ago that “some friends of China” were invited for a dinner at the Chinese embassy in Kathmandu.
The dinner must have been a sumptuous one, I guess.
After the dinner, friends of China proceeded towards the exit gate.
Hardly had “he” crossed the gate, one gentleman, in the crowd of many, made a direct call to the Indian embassy informing the “call receiving Indian diplomat” that we discussed these topics while enjoying Chinese dinner.
Almost a decade has passed since then but, it is presumed, that the same “double faces” hang around the two embassies whose grip in Nepali politics is almost cipher.
China can’t beat India’s RAW agency.
When near to a Super Power China can lose the game in Nepal then let’s not talk of Pakistan.
This is not to harass the honored friendly embassies in Kathmandu; however, the fact remains the same which got reflected in the “return with gloomy face” of powerful minister Wang Yi who has personal rapport with the so called communist’s active in Kathmandu.
Yubraj Sangroula, a veteran orator with high qualifications in the domain of Law recently said that “the bureaucratic apparatus in Nepal even exhibited its reluctance” in greeting the dignitary from China.
Once this legal veteran was excessively close to K. P. Oli.
Senior political analyst Madan Regmi too subscribes to Sangroula’s expressions.
In sum, the Chinese loss is definitely USs gain which could be felt in the lukewarm manner the Nepal government officials greeted Minister Wang Yi does tell so many things unspoken.
Hopefully, Wang Yi must have returned sad but concurrently may have concluded that the “strategies for Nepal” need to be reviewed at the earliest.
Does this mean China and the US will be face to face sooner than later?
China’s Foreign Minister, frankly speaking, should have landed in Kathmandu much ahead of the “approval” of the US mega project.
China’s political absence (?) in Nepal naturally encouraged the Biden Administration to speed up its interest in Nepal.
Needless to say, US did its job well which was in its country’s interests.
Any other country other than the US, too would have tried to secure its interests in Nepal.
The US did its job effectively which explain that the US lobby is quite active and strong in Nepal much to the equivalent to the RAW agency of the Indian regime.
China’s mission in Kathmandu has lost almost a mini war and the US has emerged with flying colors. Now the US shall remain here for long despite China’s tricks.
That China can’t compete the US in Nepal has been proven.
Yet, a frustrated Wang Yi said upon return to Beijing said that, “After visiting Pakistan, Afghanistan, India and Nepal, Minister Wang Yi said that Asia refuses to be a chessboard in the game between major powers, and Asian countries are not pawns in the confrontation between major powers”.
Perhaps it doesn’t apply to Nepal’s chameleon thug leaders?
Yet another message to Nepali Foreign Minister N. Khadka is rather strong,” China opposes any attempt to undermine Nepal’s sovereignty and independence, interfere in its internal affairs and engage in geopolitical games in Nepal”.
This is a hollow Chinese claim.
India has robbed thousands and thousands of hectares of Nepali landmass in the West, China has acquired a studied silence and even signed a “trade route” with India in the year 2015 in Lipulekh which is Nepali landmass.
Unless China restores this land to Nepal, Beijing will be taken “hand-in-glove” with India.
This trade route was signed when Nepal was battling the mega earthquake that hit Nepal on April 25, 2015.
Still China is a reliable partner, the men from the Indian lobby cut a joke?
China is a business man and it sees only its business interests.
The love and honor that the people of Nepal have had for China in the 60s and 70s is history now,
Those were the days when the Chinese top leaders like Chou En Lai and Chairman Mao Tse Tung used to tell the world that any “threat to Nepal shall be construed as a threat to China itself.
Chinese Marshal Chen Yi too have had served an ultimatum to an enemy neighboring country of Nepal that China will pounce upon those who possess ill intent on sovereign and independent Nepal.
Needless to say, those hints were directed towards the regional hegemon and noted expansionist of the South Asian region-India.
Wang’s whirlwind South Asian tour:
Prior to Wang Yi’s visit to Kathmandu (that presumably was planned in haste and hence the sad results), the Minister had visited Afghanistan, Pakistan, and India.
His visit to Afghanistan had special political significance in that Minister Wang assured the authorities in Kabul that Chinese help shall ever be with the new Afghani administration.
China has two special reasons to attend to the new Kabul regime: the first is to impart a feeling to the Afghans that China is with them even if the US and naughty India has left unceremoniously.
( In fact India packed from Kabul for fear of being penalized by the the advancing Talibans who were sure to capture the entire Afghani power structure because the Indian proxy had already fled from Kabul perhaps for United Arab Emirates in the second week of August last year).
Secondly, Wang Yi prefers to replace India with his own country which is a free political benefit to Pakistan in that India’s spy agencies shall not be opened in Afghanistan as Consulates at the place which borders Pakistan.
To recall, during the time of President Ghani had tacitly allowed India free ride to pounce upon Pakistan which must have come to an end with the advent of Taliban administrative structure.
“Wang prior to his departure from Kabul was quoted as saying that “China does not interfere in internal Afghan affairs nor does it want to safeguard its interests through such interventions.”
Is this “unexpected” US and India’s exit from Afghanistan that replaced somehow or the other with Pakistan must have annoyed the Biden Administration and India whose resultant and the cumulative effect could be the “vote of no confidence) motion against PM Imran Khan which, as the luck would have it, the motion was declared unconstitutional by the Deputy Speaker Qasim Suri exercising his House authority that saved PM Imran Khan.
It was a “sixer” from Imran Khan to what he calls as a group of “three stooges”.
The Pakistani Apex Court Fresh Ruling:
However, with the Supreme Court’s ruling made on April 6, 2022 will perhaps “destabilize” Pakistan once again for multiple reasons.
A destabilized Pakistan should be a matter of immense concern for the world powers to keep the South Asian regional stability.
The instability shall see for sure the rush of the great and the “competing” emerging powers to exploit from the disturbed Pakistan and in the process the region may further see the “stationing” of the great powers in the region trying to capture a political space in the already distressed region.
How the restored Prime Minister Imran Khan braves the April 9 No Confidence Motion will write the impending history of peace, security and regional stability of this troubled South Asian region.
PM Khan has some cards under sleeve:
Some say that PM Imran Khan has yet some “undisclosed” cards under his sleeves.
Is he set to offer fresh surprises? Let’s wait for some hours from now,
If Kashmir is already a flash point in South Asia then Pakistan shall be taken as yet another pocket that may have the potential to the announcement of the next war.
The front shall shift from Ukraine to Islamabad for sure.
Rush of great powers in the Region Likely:
The new political developments in Pakistan in many more ways than one shall “invite” China and the US in this part of the world and the two great powers shall do their utmost to keep the South Asian region in their sphere of influence.
Let’s see how the Pakistani events take turn in the days ahead.
Predictably, the days for Pakistan and by extension the South Asian region are not that much encouraging.
Wishing the US and China reconcile for the greater benefit of the South Asian region and the globe.
The fierce competition has in earnest begun. The Russian and the Ukrainian scuffle which has polarized the world is a case in point.
More Polarization in Store:
If the USA and the NATO countries are together then by default or deliberately China has openly associated itself with the Russians in the Moscow-Kiev war.
Expectedly, the US shall encourage the Indian establishment to take the command of the South Asian region which shall, once again, be fiercely opposed by the combined strength of China and Russian Federation.
Erdogan’s Turkey though is an integral part of the NATO alliance but yet Erdogan’s “moral” support is with the troubled Imran Khan.
All put together, South Asian region is not safe with the new developments in Pakistan which ever course it takes after April 9, 2022.
Yet let’s hope for the best in Pakistan and the entire region.
What is for sure is that if Pakistan becomes unstable, it will surely have its negative impact in the entire region.
Who is the winner?
With the Apex Court verdict, Imran Khan may have lost the case and the Opposition may have won the “battle; however, the fact is that Pakistan as a nation has “failed” which will be felt by the Pakistanis and the impact of this failed Pakistan upon the peace, security and stability of this already troubled region.
The readers are free to disagree with the opinions that have been mentioned here in these paragraphs, however, this will come to true as has been guessed by “competent and international relations expert” based in Kathmandu.
South Asian politics awaits a great turmoil.
A timely joke from “comfortable Nepal: a complacent Nepal is the SAARC “comfortable” Chairman. The “inactive or redundant SAARC is in the interest of the regional hooligan.
Let there be peace in the world. Nepali observers appeal China, Russia and the US to understand the gravity of the situation and make sincere efforts to ease the tensed circumstances that may “erupt” from a disturbed Pakistan.
The message is loud and clear.
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